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Trend of Food Supply and Demand

Taketoshi Arikawa
Advisor Business Opportunuty Cemter,
Departmenmt of Industry Prtomotion Ministry of Industry


  1. Presentation at AOTS seminar, held on 1st Feb. 2010
    (Reprint under AOTS' approval)


  2. Contents

    1. About staple farm drops
    2. Sudden rise of grain prices in recent years
      1. Extreme weather
      2. Changing of food by a population increase and economic growth
      3. Bio fuel
      4. Inflow of speculation money
    3. Prospect of food supply and demand in the future
    4. Rate of food self-sufficciency of Japan


  3. Charts will be enlarged on clicking.

Data of Staple Farm Crops

Staple farm crops (1)

  • Production country and production


Staple farm crops (2)

  • Corn


Staple farm crops (3)

  • Wheat


Staple farm crops (4)

  • Rice


Staple farm crops (5)

  • Soybean


Staple farm crops (6)

  • Imports


Staple farm crops (7)

  • Image of trade


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Sudden Rise of Grain Prices

Structural variation factors

  1. Influence by the weather change.
  2. A population increase of developing country and increase of food demand by economic growth.
  3. Increase of bio-fuel demand.
  4. Inflow of speculation money.

Causes of the rising price of grains



Sudden rise of grain prices (1)

  • Supply-demand vs term-end inventory rate (1)


Sudden rise of grain prices (2)

  • Supply-demand vs term-end inventory rate (2)


Sudden rise of grain prices (3)

  • Transition of price


Sudden rise of grain prices (4)

  • Trend of international price of staple farm crops


Change of the weather (1)

  • Principal events


Change of the weather (2)

  • Averaged temperature in the world


Change of the weather (3)

  • Trend of global warming


Change of the weather (4)

  • Influence of global warming


Change of the weather (5)

  • Measures against global warming


Population increase (1)

  • Population ranking in the world


Population increase (2)

  • Population increase


Economic growth (3)

  • Economic growth in Asia


Change of food (4)

  • Change in cereal consumption


Change of food (5)

  • Requirement of grain and water in production of meat


Change of food (6)

  • Feature at economic growth


Change of food (7)

  • Change of soybean demand


Change of food (8)

  • Change of corn demand


Bio fuel (1)

  • Comparison of grain supply and demand


Bio fuel (2)

  • An increase in bio ethanol producution (1)


Bio fuel (3)

  • An increase in bio ethanol producution (2)


Inflow of speculation money (1)

  • Scale of speculation money


Inflow of speculation money (2)

  • Influence of speculation money


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Prosoect of Food Supply and Demand in the Future

Food Supply and Demand in the Future (1)

  • Farmland and productivity efficiency


Food Supply and Demand in the Future (2)

  • Prospect after ten years


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Food circumstances and rate of food self-sufficiency in Japan

Rate of food self-sufficiency in Japan (1)

  • Transition in each country


Rate of food self-sufficiency in Japan (2)

  • Various transitions


Rate of food self-sufficiency in Japan (3)

  • Transition by product


Rate of food self-sufficiency in Japan (4)

  • Cutivated acreage - Number of paersons engaged


Rate of food self-sufficiency in Japan (5)

  • Import origin


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Summary

  • Asia is importing region.
  • Asia, with remarkable population increase and economic growth, greatly influences the food supply and demand in the world.
  • Coexisting of economic development and the environmental protection is important.
  • The rate of food self-sufficiency in Japan will stabilize at low-level in the future
  • Cooperation of Japan and Asian countries will become more important in the future.

Summary



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